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Date:      Fri, 10 Apr 1998 00:55:22 -0500 (CDT)
From:      Frank Pawlak <fpawlak@execpc.com>
To:        jfieber@indiana.edu
Cc:        danj@3skel.com, hackers@FreeBSD.ORG, freebsd-questions@FreeBSD.ORG
Subject:   Re[2]: Fw: Your Article "Freeware: The Heart & Soul of the  Internet"
Message-ID:  <199804100555.AAA00337@darkstar.connect.com>
In-Reply-To: <Pine.BSF.3.96.980409231615.11501C-100000@fallout.campusview.indiana.edu>

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John Fieber <jfieber@indiana.edu> wrote:
> On Thu, 9 Apr 1998, Dan Janowski wrote:
> 
> > We should conduct a census! Put it on the website, in the FTP
> banners on
> > wcarchive, in the CDROMs.
> 
> Well, ya, but the results would rate next to worthless in terms
> of statistical validity.  Good demographic studies are pretty
> hard to do when you don't know the extent of your population, and
> asking people to register isn't going to define it for you. 
> 
> I did one random sampling of mailing list subscribers (I defined
> my population as mailing list subscribers) and sent a small
> survey regarding the FreeBSD web site.  The response rate was in
> the negihborhood of two to three percent.  Completely useless. 
> 60 to 70 percent is usually considered the bottom end of
> acceptable in survey research.  I got much more data from a form
> on the website, but the validity of that data is highly
> questionable for lots of reasons outlined in any survey research
> methods textbook.
> 
> BUT, a good demographic study of FreeBSD users would be extremely
> valuable to have...so all you statistics junkies, start thinking
> of a way to come up with a *representative* sample the user
> population.
> 
> -john

You would enjoy what the Linux people use to estimate the size of the
installed base.  Check out RedHat's web page, the document may still be
there.
Frank


> 
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