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Date:      Tue, 19 Apr 2016 17:04:47 -0700
From:      "Jack L." <xxjack12xx@gmail.com>
To:        "freebsd-questions@freebsd.org" <freebsd-questions@freebsd.org>
Cc:        Valeri Galtsev <galtsev@kicp.uchicago.edu>, "Steve O'Hara-Smith" <steve@sohara.org>
Subject:   Re: Raid 1+0
Message-ID:  <CALeGphzt0JQb=McEdniOT3Jz_OS-qFBJEnDahX8_cBTrYtUzfw@mail.gmail.com>
In-Reply-To: <44a8kpcm14.fsf@be-well.ilk.org>
References:  <571533F4.8040406@bananmonarki.se> <57153E6B.6090200@gmail.com> <20160418210257.GB86917@neutralgood.org> <64031.128.135.52.6.1461017122.squirrel@cosmo.uchicago.edu> <20160419153824.7b679129f82a3cd0b18b9740@sohara.org> <40267.128.135.52.6.1461098148.squirrel@cosmo.uchicago.edu> <44a8kpcm14.fsf@be-well.ilk.org>

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On Tue, Apr 19, 2016 at 2:43 PM, Lowell Gilbert
<freebsd-questions-local@be-well.ilk.org> wrote:
> "Valeri Galtsev" <galtsev@kicp.uchicago.edu> writes:
>
>> On Tue, April 19, 2016 9:38 am, Steve O'Hara-Smith wrote:
>>> On Mon, 18 Apr 2016 17:05:22 -0500 (CDT)
>>> "Valeri Galtsev" <galtsev@kicp.uchicago.edu> wrote:
>>>
>>>> Not correct. First of all, in most of the cases, failure of each of the
>>>> drives are independent events
>>>
>>>      If only that were so. When the drives are as near identical as
>>> manufacturing can make them and have had very similar histories they
>>> can be expected to have very similar wear and be similarly close to
>>> failure at all times, which makes it likely that the load imposed by
>>> one failing will push another over.
>>
>> Sigh. You need suggest some physics that will make one drive affect
>> another (aged or not aged doesn't matter for me). Then you will have me in
>> your team.
>
> Correlation is not causation.
>
> It's not a big stretch to imagine that two nearly identical mechanical
> devices, operated in nearly identical conditions, might wear out in a
> nearly identical way at about the same time. There is no need for one
> drive to affect the other.
>
> A fair number of people believe that this in fact occurs. I've looked
> for evidence on the subject, and I haven't found anything (beyond
> anecdotes) for or against the possibility.

I think all hard drives are garbage and can die at any unpredictable
time. Doesn't matter what brand, what model, what type, they all die
unexpectedly. With that, I just make sure I have good backups just in
case there's multiple drive failures in a raid set.



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