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Date:      Thu, 12 Sep 2002 01:33:33 -0500
From:      Ken Wills <kenwills@tds.net>
To:        chat@freebsd.org
Subject:   Re: Why did evolution fail?
Message-ID:  <20020912063333.GA35751@zaptillion.net>
In-Reply-To: <3D7E622F.840E002B@mindspring.com>
References:  <20020910084415.Q62741-100000@Tolstoy.home.lan> <3D7E622F.840E002B@mindspring.com>

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+++ Terry Lambert [10/09/02 14:20 -0700]:
> > "Neal E. Westfall" wrote:
> > > "A million" is just a convenient handle for "an inconceivably large
> > > number"; the premise in the argument is sound: given a source of
> > > randomness, eventually, a set number of bits in a specific sequence
> > > will happen.  If it never happens, then your input wasn't really
> > > random.  It's basically a premise based on large number theory,
> > > combined with the theory of limits.  Basically, there is a finite
> > > probability of something happening, and an infinity of attempts at
> > > a matching value: eventually, it *will* happen.
> > 
> > Yes, but the odds against it for all intents and purposes make it a
> > statistical impossibility.
> 
> That's wrong.  You misapprehend the nature of infinity, and we
> have given them an infinite amount of time to complete their
> task.
> 

Right, and for a little more perspective - the monkeys will produce the sought sequence
an "infinite" number of times, no matter how small the probability is (as long as
it's > 0).

Ken


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