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Date:      Thu, 16 May 2002 09:10:31 +0200
From:      Nils Holland <nils@daemon.tisys.org>
To:        Terry Lambert <tlambert2@mindspring.com>
Cc:        freebsd-chat@freebsd.org
Subject:   Re: The road ahead?
Message-ID:  <20020516091031.A2259@daemon.tisys.org>
In-Reply-To: <3CE34A8B.7D999E2C@mindspring.com>; from tlambert2@mindspring.com on Wed, May 15, 2002 at 10:58:35PM -0700
References:  <20020516004909.A9808@daemon.tisys.org> <15586.61471.456290.764885@guru.mired.org> <20020515211922.J1282@darkstar.gte.net> <3CE34A8B.7D999E2C@mindspring.com>

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On Wed, May 15, 2002 at 10:58:35PM -0700, Terry Lambert stood up and spoke:
> > In a market where everyone is falling over each other to bring out WAP,
> > why don't good features ever show up?
> 
> Ah, an easy one!
> 
> Because the idiots behind WAP look at it as a means of pushing
> content at you, the same way they look at the Internet as a
> means of pushing content at you, rather than as a person-to-person
> communications medium.

We have another two things that should be mentioned here:

1) The fact that computers these days are sold today mor or less like
normal appliances doesn't make things much better. Today, these doesn't
seem to be much of a difference between a computer and a TV set. Serious
companies (Microsoft, for example) seem to think that they have to produce
something that you turn on and then information comes out of it. This
brings us to the second thing:

2) The Internet in fact was very much different from television when
initially invented: It allowed people to communicate with one another. It
allowed people (and companies) to put up places of information (=web
sites), which were always meant to be an interactive experience.

As time goes by, however, the Internet seems to be mutating into "another
TV": It's being commercialized and (from the content point of view) ruled
by a bunch of big companies, just as is true for TV. The fact that
initially made the 'net interesting, i.e. allowing people from all over the
world to communicate, and allowing everyone to become a "publisher", no
longer seems to interest anyone. I guess by now the Internet is like TV
with a whole lot of home-shopping stations ;-)

Another thing I'd like to mention is that I guess the Internet is
successful because it's free. As such, I remember that a while ago all the
world seemed to swap music via Napster. Then Napster was closed down, and
started to come back, using the Internet to seel online music for money. I
find this idea a little strange, as I don't think Napster was successfull
because it made music available via the Internet, but because this music
was *free*. On the other hand, if people now had to pay in order to
download music from the 'Net, they might as well buy the CD. In addition,
if we'd turn the concept around, i.e. selling Napster music for mony and
making CDs available for free, everything would be reversed, so that
everyone would get the CDs. This seems to prove that the popular thing
about Napster was *not* that it "worked over the Internet", but that the
music it provides was free.

As such, I don't think business plans that want to make money from the
Internet could be very successful. Only imagine if you'd have to pay a
monthly fee for every (commercial site) you visit, or for every document
you download at such a site. I guess that would highly decrease the
popularity of the web, yet I guess there are at least some commercial
content providers that would like to charge you money for accessing their
stuff...

Greetings
Nils

-- 

Nils Holland <nils@daemon.tisys.org>
Ti Systems - http://www.tisys.org
Addicted to computing since 1987
High on FreeBSD since 1996

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